Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1100.604025 1248.087849 1411.746305 1607.477218 1836.052760 2095.564795 2413.946366
2025-08-31 878.244274 1074.018365 1311.676874 1624.211982 2028.523447 2539.578946 3243.526473
2025-09-07 765.099078 982.216602 1261.659158 1653.176677 2196.405311 2936.868005 4046.088505
2025-09-14 658.913860 877.496238 1171.638046 1604.485636 2239.177390 3158.468051 4634.127300
2025-09-21 578.773201 794.497390 1095.759251 1557.840692 2268.239208 3353.048807 5204.651685
2025-09-28 512.652752 722.038923 1023.835863 1503.574516 2272.238250 3502.296763 5721.281390
2025-10-05 485.915338 702.692965 1025.519558 1558.217812 2449.894312 3950.343122 6825.707278
2025-10-12 455.944640 674.747549 1010.081688 1582.087576 2577.952660 4332.249346 7887.829802
2025-10-19 427.728223 646.324235 990.186487 1594.848469 2686.609625 4694.252721 8986.626747
2025-10-26 402.585592 620.143178 970.736795 1605.012436 2790.310771 5061.304329 10175.200173
2025-11-02 386.660397 607.239477 971.477680 1649.799478 2963.056472 5589.084779 11835.908174
2025-11-09 369.179365 590.043823 962.946873 1676.127149 3102.931221 6072.775414 13516.821867
2025-11-16 350.995186 570.707871 949.867561 1694.406317 3233.703369 6570.539305 15396.873395
2025-11-23 333.311870 550.846293 934.130200 1706.033897 3353.401302 7069.177912 17437.389886
2025-11-30 320.048125 537.575349 928.901099 1737.345283 3519.358765 7706.514952 20061.580181
2025-12-07 297.284504 505.339768 885.421785 1685.665293 3492.859530 7872.674327 21363.327636
2025-12-14 276.947730 476.072722 845.135876 1636.235224 3464.460545 8028.895404 22687.578596
2025-12-21 257.474392 447.077270 803.099625 1578.741399 3409.330074 8106.201276 23787.272220
2025-12-28 252.518727 445.073359 813.718134 1636.634368 3641.390980 9003.660241 28013.261832
2026-01-04 244.343729 436.261960 809.919760 1661.930382 3796.355686 9720.889903 31896.038876
2026-01-11 235.543280 425.589401 801.406413 1675.455410 3923.230113 10385.317772 35870.738859
2026-01-18 227.082232 414.993284 792.165970 1686.228822 4044.652888 11061.993155 40213.881149
2026-01-25 222.446829 411.726364 798.052000 1733.709883 4274.260105 12138.236665 46853.145975